Monday, October 31, 2022, 11:30 AM – 1 PM EDT
Alan Abramowitz, Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science
“The Outlook for the 2022 Midterm Election”
In this lecture, we will hear from a widely cited expert on national politics whose “Time for Change” model has predicted election outcomes with a remarkable degree of accuracy since the 1980s, Emory’s own Alan Abramowitz. But this year, even Alan isn’t sure he and his model can predict what’s likely to occur. As Alan says, and indeed as everyone knows, “midterm elections normally result in big losses for the party of the president, especially when the president is unpopular.” And Joe Biden is unpopular. However, as Alan also says, “2022 is not a normal midterm election year.” In his presentation today, he “will examine some of the ways in which the unusual circumstances of the 2022 election may result in an unusual outcome.”